Asia: An Emerging Market
By ELIZABETH FUHRMAN
Dominated by alcohol drink sales, the Asian beverage market continues to develop and expand
Asia is a four-letter word
being said more often lately. Asia is ginormous — a worthy
combination of gigantic and enormous — because the market is just
that big, and its growth and potential growth for beverages is even larger.
Beverage sales in China, India, Japan, Philippines and
Thailand totaled more than $561.7 billion in 2006, according to Euromonitor
International, Chicago. Japan led beverage sales for the Asian countries
with more than $308.8 billion, followed by China with more than $163.8
billion in sales. Trailing the two market giants, India saw more than $44.3
billion in beverage sales, Thailand reached more than $25.3 billion and the
Philippines more than $19.4 billion in sales.
Asian spirits
Alcohol drinks dominate the beverage market in Asia,
and the spirits market is controlled by locally produced beverages with
long-established patterns of consumption, Euromonitor says. As a result,
the performance of individual markets was influenced significantly by the
advancements of individual categories. For example, in India, locally
produced whisky ranks as the largest spirit category, and its strong
performance drove overall spirits growth in the market. Likewise, locally
produced rice-based vodka drove spirits growth in Vietnam.
Investing in China’s market growth, Diageo plc
made its first acquisition in the country in 2006 with a 43 percent stake
in Sichuan Chengdu Quanxing Group Co., the owner of Shanghai-listed Sichuan
Swellfun Co., which makes Swellfun spirits brand, which includes a
traditional Chinese liquor or baijiu. The deal made Swellfun the first
baijiu brand with foreign interests, and made Diageo the second-largest
shareholder in Chengdu Quanxing. Diageo entered the Chinese market in 1995,
selling Johnie Walker and J&B, and has seen double-digit growth on the
mainland in recent years, the company said.
Remy Cointreau SA co-founded the Dynasty Fine Wines
Group in 1980, to become the first foreign company to own a Chinese wine
venture. To further grow in Asia, Remy has decided to quit the Maxxium
joint-venture distribution network by March 2009 to gain more control over
distributing its Cognac and Champagne in Asia. The company said it would
create its own Asian distribution network to build the premium brands in
emerging markets.
New product introductions in Asia* | |||
Category | 2005 | 2006 | |
Alcohol Beverages | 400 | 461 | |
Beverage Concentrates/Mixes | 247 | 336 | |
Carbonated Soft Drinks | 214 | 272 | |
Coffee | 269 | 313 | |
Energy Drinks | 71 | 75 | |
Fruit/Flavored Still Drinks | 259 | 335 | |
Juice & Nectars | 553 | 806 | |
Malt & Other Hot Beverages | 147 | 171 | |
Meal Replacements & Other Drinks | 129 | 160 | |
RTD Coffee & Tea | 548 | 701 | |
Sports Drinks | 57 | 63 | |
Tea | 444 | 688 | |
Water | 122 | 184 | |
Total | 3,460 | 4,565 | |
*Asian countries included in totals are China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam. Source: Mintel Global New Products Database |
Euromonitor predicts India’s most popular
spirit, Indian whisky, should facilitate moves by multinationals to drive
demand for blended Scotch. Late last year, Beam Global Spirits & Wine
Inc., Deerfield, Ill., entered a new category in the Indian spirits market
with Indian Made Foreign Liquor brand Whisky DYC, which followed the launch
of Jim Beam Bourbon in India.
Whisky DYC, an established brand in Europe, was
adapted for the Indian market, and is a blend of Indian grain and imported
aged malts. DYC will be blended and bottled in India. Positioned as an
“affordable luxury,” Whisky DYC offers premium quality at an
affordable price, making it desirable to aspiring Indians, Beam Global
Spirits & Wine says. The launch of DYC will contribute to the expansion
of the Beam Global India portfolio and add distribution strength to the
company’s flagship brand Teacher’s, the No. 1 Scotch whisky
brand in the “bottled in India” Scotch segment, the company
says.
The dominating South Korean shochu category only
offers standard and economy varieties of the traditional Japanese distilled
spirits, because of weak economic conditions in the country. South
Korea’s biggest selling shochu brand in 2005 was Jinro’s
economy brand Chamjinsulro, which accounted for 50 percent of volume sales,
Euromonitor says. The South Korean market is very concentrated with local
companies performing well in their local region.
In Japan, the premium local spirits market is limited,
with the greatest majority of sales either economy or standard-priced
products. Due to poor economic conditions in Japan during the past decade,
the Japanese have continued to trade down in all alcohol drink categories.
Anchored by consumer beliefs that shochu is healthier
than other spirits because of its lower alcohol content, Japanese sales
grew by 36 million cases between 1997 and 2006, which was pushed by
response for standard and economy brands. The market is relatively
fragmented with no brand having volume sales of more than 10 percent in
2005, which offers multinational companies a chance for market entry,
Euromonitor says. Strong growth is expected to continue and an improved
economic outlook could see consumers trading up. The increased popularity
of shochu has led to an increase in the number of shochu bars, especially
in urban areas.
Also with a large local specialty spirits market,
Thailand’s market of 63 million cases consists of economy products
such as Sura Khao and mixed spirits like SangSom, Euromonitor reports.
More than half of Taiwan’s 4.2 million case
market in 2006 consists of a category classified as “other
spirits,” which is made up of Chinese spirits and Chinese herbal
spirits of predominantly standard and economy brands, Euromonitor states.
In 2006, these spirits saw a decline, following duty increases that were
passed on to the Taiwanese.
The spirit markets in Singapore, Hong Kong and Vietnam
are small and have no sales of specialty local
spirits, with consumers already used to Western spirits such as Scotch,
Euromonitor says. The Vietnamese market has potential for growth, but with
the combination of high import duties and low disposable income, contraband
sales are prevalent and growth, in turn, is limited.
Generally, prospects remain limited for local
specialty spirits in Asia, according to Euromonitor. Currently China and
Japan hold the most opportunity in the short term, but still the premium
local spirits market is consolidating quickly. In 2000, the top nine brands
accounted for less than 17 percent of volume, but by 2005, this had grown
to just less than 30 percent.
Asia beverages sales (in millions of dollars) | ||
2006 | Forecast 2010 | |
CHINA | ||
Alcohol drinks | $54,924.00 | $72,797.30 |
Beer | $23,022.20 | $29,222.70 |
Wine | $9,037.60 | $12,401.10 |
Spirits | $22,843.60 | $31,142.10 |
Soft drinks | $26,338.20 | $33,044.80 |
Carbonates | $6,071.00 | $6,746.10 |
Fruit/vegetable juice | $6,450.40 | $8,992.00 |
Bottled water | $4,124.90 | $5,823.00 |
Functional drinks | $1,595.30 | $1,989.80 |
RTD tea | $4,574.30 | $5,215.20 |
RTD coffee | $30.1 | $38.7 |
Asian speciality drinks | $4,831.70 | $5,816.90 |
INDIA | ||
Alcohol drinks | $18,460.90 | $25,938.30 |
Beer | $2,046.60 | $2,839.60 |
RTDs/High-strength premixes | $22.9 | $34.9 |
Wine | $118.6 | $188.9 |
Spirits | $16,272.80 | $22,874.90 |
Soft drinks | $3,749.50 | $4,421.40 |
Carbonates | $2,342.90 | $2,209.10 |
Fruit/vegetable juice | $394.4 | $525 |
Bottled water | $939.5 | $1,611.40 |
JAPAN | ||
Alcohol drinks | $92,467.30 | $94,166.90 |
Beer | $44,589.80 | $39,450.00 |
Cider/perry | $17.9 | $15.5 |
RTDs/High-strength premixes | $3,504.50 | $3,917.40 |
Wine | $23,439.40 | $26,844.40 |
Spirits | $20,915.70 | $23,939.60 |
Soft drinks | $57,244.80 | $60,179.20 |
Carbonates | $11,241.20 | $10,408.00 |
Fruit/vegetable juice | $9,796.80 | $10,736.40 |
Bottled water | $4,393.10 | $5,197.30 |
Functional drinks | $5,084.80 | $4,958.40 |
RTD tea | $14,470.20 | $16,389.00 |
RTD coffee | $11,082.80 | $11,306.70 |
Asian speciality drinks | $10,532.20 | $12,509.80 |
PHILIPPINES | ||
Alcohol drinks | $4,709.70 | $5,036.70 |
Beer | $1,930.00 | 2,311.70 |
RTDs/High-strength premixes | $24.6 | $29.5 |
Wine | $114.9 | $135 |
Spirits | $2,640.20 | $2,560.50 |
Soft drinks | $5,072.80 | $5,687.10 |
Carbonates | $2,629.10 | $2,567.50 |
Fruit/vegetable juice | $910.7 | $1,199.40 |
Bottled water | $1,140.20 | $1,428.10 |
Functional drinks | $55.1 | $82 |
RTD tea | $53.5 | $85 |
RTD coffee | $6.8 | $7.9 |
Asian speciality drinks | $76.6 | $112.6 |
THAILAND | ||
Alcohol drinks | $7,561.10 | $7,680.10 |
Beer | $4,154.00 | $4,402.30 |
RTDs/High-strength premixes | $122.7 | $124.7 |
Wine | $255.3 | $284.8 |
Spirits | $3,029.20 | $2,868.30 |
Soft drinks | $4,976.60 | $5,777.50 |
Carbonates | $2,800.20 | $3,137.50 |
Fruit/vegetable juice | $332.3 | $401 |
Bottled water | $792.5 | $988 |
Functional drinks | $543.2 | $633.2 |
RTD tea | $285.6 | $359.2 |
RTD coffee | $209.9 | $246.7 |
Asian speciality drinks | $274.2 | $340.5 |
Source: Euromonitor International |
Wine wages on
In 2005, the mushrooming Chinese economy was a key
factor behind a 2.6 percent increase in regional wine volume sales, more
than double the 1.2 percent in 2004, Euromonitor says. China’s share
of regional volume rose to 54 percent in 2005, increasing its lead over
Japan at 27 percent, and South Korea at 8 percent.
Euromonitor credits China’s wine volume growth
to the growing popularity of Western lifestyle trends, the promotion of the
health benefits associated with moderate wine consumption, a shift away from spirits with high alcohol content to products
with a lower alcohol content, the falling price of still grape wines due to
reduced taxation and the effects of World Trade Organization entry and
government campaigns supporting grape wine consumption.
The fastest growing Asian wine markets in 2005 were
India and the Philippines, although their combined share of regional volume
in 2005 amounted to less than 1 percent, Euromonitor says. Vietnam and
Malaysia also showed promising growth, albeit from low bases. In value
terms, Japan remained the dominant force in the region, accounting for some
63 percent of regional wine sales, but second-place China again increased
its share in 2005 to 23 percent from 21 percent in 2004.
During the 2000 to 2005 timeframe, Japan experienced
annual declines in wine volume sales, falling by a further 6 percent in
2005 to 1 billion liters. The key factor in this decline was the drop in
demand for sake, which accounted for an estimated 75 percent of Japanese
wine volume in 2005, due to increased competition from other types of
alcohol drinks such as shochu and flavored alcohol beverages. Sake is
forecasted to continue to experience falling sales in the mid-term, due to
its outdated image. Taking advantage of this trend, wine manufacturers are
expected to increase marketing for their products, with a special emphasis
on red and white wines in smaller bottles, and functional, low-colorie
wines aimed at women, Euromonitor says.
Beer is bustling
For beer, 2005 was a year of ups and downs. The
region’s emerging markets all experienced steady growth, however, its
key developed markets, Japan and South Korea, performed poorly, Euromonitor
says. The divide had a marked impact on overall regional performance, with
growth at just 1 percent in value terms, reflecting the negative impact of
depression in two of Asia-Pacific’s three largest markets. In volume
terms, growth was stronger, at 4 percent, reflecting the continued
expansion in beer consumption in the region’s less developed sales
areas.
The primary factor of growth in Asia’s emerging
markets is sustained economic growth, with rising disposable income levels
fostering greater consumer confidence and increasing consumption, according
to Euromonitor. The continued expansion of the increasingly influential
Chinese economy was again central to this trend. Rising demand for premium
and imported lager can be directly linked to the generally upbeat financial
environment, with consumers proving increasingly keen to trade up. Economy
lager also performed well in 2005, highlighting the price sensitivity of
the emerging Asia market.
Heightening emerging market growth was another year of
strong multinational investment, as the leading global players looked to
build considerable portfolios in non-developed markets. And at the
beginning of this year, Anheuser-Busch International Inc. entered into a
joint venture with Crown Beers India Ltd., which will give the U.S. brewer
entry into the growing Indian beer market. The 50-50 joint venture will
operate under the name Crown Beers India Ltd. In the past few years, A-B
also has lifted its stake in Tsingtao Brewery to 27 percent.
Other international brewers have expanded into the
growing market too. SAB Miller bought a stake in China Resources Snow
Breweries in 2001, and the venture has become Asia’s biggest brewer
by sales volume. In June 2006, InBev acquired Fujian Sedrin Brewery in
southeastern China.
Soft drinks grow in spurts
While Asian per capita consumption of carbonated soft
drinks may be the lowest in the world, the category has for a long time
acted as the main component of the region’s non-alcohol beverage
market, responsible for more than 30 percent of consumption at the start of the decade, reports Canadean Ltd., Basingstoke,
England.
Asia continues to make gains in the international soft
drink arena. Its contribution to world volumes has stretched from 17
percent at the beginning of the decade to an estimated 20 percent in 2006,
Canadean reports. The global market itself has expanded by almost 30
percent during the same period, according to Wisdom, a database which
supports all Canadean’s beverage research services.
Although soft drink sales continue to increase, the
category’s importance is diminishing annually. By the close of 2006,
Canadean expects bottled water will be close to taking over the No. 1 spot.
Indonesia and China comprise more than half
Asia’s bottled water consumption, and Canadean says what happens in
these two countries is influential for the region as a whole. China’s
bottled water expansion only began in the 1990s. Before then it was not
seen as a suitable substitute for traditional boiled water. Many years of
product education coupled with economic development have driven the
category forward, and it regularly records double-digit annual growth,
states Canadean’s Chinese Soft Drinks
Report.
Bottled water continued to lead the Chinese
non-alcohol beverage market last year in terms of size, although the market
has not yet been fully developed with regard to brand loyalty, industry
standards and consumer awareness, Canadean says. Focusing on future
opportunities, the key players are advancing by progressing infrastructures
and distribution networks in order to gain leverage before a brand war
starts. This trend is paired with anticipated stricter category standards
that are likely to be implemented across the industry.
China is not only significant for growth of bottled
water, it is also responsible for the largest volume of carbonates, juice
and nectars plus still drinks consumed in Asia, Canadean says.
Top 10 new product claims in 2006 in Asia* | ||
Claim | Number of New Products |
|
1. | No Additives/Preservatives | 648 |
2. | Vitamin/Mineral Fortified | 565 |
3. | Halal | 420 |
4. | Low/No/Reduced Sugar | 358 |
5. | All Natural | 203 |
6. | Seasonal | 179 |
7. | Premium | 171 |
8. | Low/No/Reduced Calorie | 147 |
9. | Vegetarian | 129 |
10. | Added Calcium | 100 |
*Asian countries included in totals are China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam. Source: Mintel Global New Products Database |
Craft beers in China
The Brewers Association Export Development Program in
partnership with American Craft Beer Partners, Pittsburgh, sent a mixed
container shipment of American craft beers to mainland China. The
assortment of American craft beers from Rogue Ales Brewery, Newport, Ore.;
Brooklyn Brewery, Brooklyn, N.Y.; and North Coast Brewing Co., Fort Bragg,
Calif., shipped late last year to Shanghai, China.
The shipment is a culmination of a three-year effort
consisting of market research into opportunities for U.S. craft beer in
China and reverse trade missions to the United States by leading Chinese
beer distributors, says the Brewers Association, Boulder, Colo. Funds for
this work came in large part from the U.S. Department of Agriculture's
Emerging Markets Program. The beer is available at high-end bars and
restaurants in Shanghai at a range of $4.50 to $7.00 per bottle. American
Craft Beer Partners is working on agreements with on- and off-premise
accounts to order larger volumes.
Three additional craft brewers will begin shipping to
China this spring. Products from Boston Beer Co., Boston; Gordon Biersch
Brewing Co., Chattanooga, Tenn.; and Kona Brewing Co., Kailua-Kona, Hawaii,
will ship and appear with the three original breweries at SIAL China in May
and host a beer and food pairing dinner to feature the U.S. craft brews.
Cooler Asia
Demand in developing
countries in Asia is outpacing the global average for commercial
refrigeration equipment, rising 8.5 percent annually through 2010, reports
The Freedonia Group Inc., Cleveland, Ohio, in its World Commercial Refrigeration
Equipment report.
China will be the fastest-growing national market,
benefiting from above-average urban population growth and healthy gains in
fixed investment, as well as rising income levels. Strong growth also will
occur in India due to solid gains in the number of households with
refrigerators, which will boost demand for refrigerated food items.
Reach-in and walk-in coolers and freezers are being
used by food processors, restaurants and food retailers, and are expected
to post solid gains in developing regions.